Sunday, December 9, 2012

The Road to The Drachma

So here we are looking at the economic and political fallout occurring in Greece, and we have to ask ourselves how are we going to pay the price? Because you know it's just a question of "when" not "if" the Greek and Spanish governments will have to suffer the consequence for their fiscal incompetence and inability to make the right micro-economic decisions.

According to recent news you already have people standing in line and cashing out their money or at least starting to wake up and ask themselves the hard questions about their savings and future welfare. Needless to say we are talking about a vicious cycle where parents saving for their children will not be able to provide them with education or buy them cars. It goes without saying that people inability to buy these things will push the economy into a further recession and boost the unemployment levels that are already dangerously high.

Still, technically speaking this is not necessarily a bad thing in the long run. Obviously there will be hell to pay. Governments will fall, people will lose business, the economy will collapse, and trade deficit will sky rocket. However, in the long run this is a good thing, because going back to Drachma and Peseta means cheaper prices. So people overseas wanting to travel or buy real-estate, would be more prone to do it because their Euro will have much more paying power.

At the end of the day this economic type of Darwinian environment where only the strongest economies survive does not benefit most people. But it does have its perks if you analyze it in the right way. Assuming Germany will not make guarantees in the form of loans to Spain and Greece this situation will spiral into what will become a different eurozone all together. One also needs to consider the fact that the Greek people were not willing to make a sacrifice and accept austerity measures. These policies caused a massive outcry and the rise of a new national socialist party harping on the old Greek myths and using the current situation to increase its political power base.

In Spain the situation is not much better, and has recently been further exacerbated by the fact that Argentina decided to nationalize its oil wells leaving Respol, a major Spanish stock owner in Argentinian oil production facilities literally "out to dry".

Now let's get to the bottom line. If you are an investor, with a particular affinity for binary options I recommend commodities, and hold on to your gold and oil stock which have been resilient during times of high volatility.

A Guide To Un-Leased Mineral Owners   Trading Knowledge For Success in the Futures Market   Greek Default Imminent   Beaten Bean Bulls   

Future Market - "Think Big and Make Big Profit"

Future market is a central financial exchange where people can trade standardized future contracts that is, a contract to buy specific quantities of a commodity or financial instrument at a specified price with delivery set at a specified time in the future. Futures contracts on commodities and financial futures are negotiated.

DESCRIPTION:

A futures contract is an agreement to buy or sell in the future a specific quantity of a commodity at a specific price. Most futures contracts contemplate actual delivery of the commodity can take place to fulfill the contract. However, some futures contracts require cash settlement in lieu of delivery, and most contracts are liquidated before the delivery date.

An option on a commodity futures contract gives the buyer an option the right to convert the option into a future, which uses future and option market commodities they trade. These users, most of whom are called "hedgers," want the value of their assets to increase and want to limit, if possible, any loss in value. Hedgers may use the commodity markets to take a position that will reduce the risk of financial loss in their assets due to a change in price.

Other participants are "speculators" who hope to profit from changes in the price of the futures or option contract. Some commodities include agricultural products, such as corn, soybean, barley, orange juice, cattle, pork bellies, coffee, cotton and lumber, and metals such as gold, platinum, silver and copper. There are a fixed number of financial futures that are included in negotiations in contracts with US Treasury notes and bonds. Negotiating in the futures market can be as exciting for an adult as riding on a roller coaster could be to a kid. There are overnight profits and losses that are of greater magnitude than those given in other financial investments such as stocks and bonds.

Consequently, investing in futures markets is within the riskiest investments.

BENEFIT OF FUTURE MARKET:

• Gain your investment.

• Go short in the market.

• Make an investment that tracks the entire market through one single transaction

• Speculate in movements in market prices or hedge against price exposure in a simple and expedient way

• As far as the futures market in farm produce is concerned, the farmer has a guarantee for payment and quality risk is avoided. It promotes storage and warehousing facilities and logistics facilities. It also increases the bargaining power of the farmers and enables decision on crop sowing and time of sale.

• Commission charges are small compared to other investments.

• All in all, futures are the perfect traders market.

HOW YOU INVEST IN FUTURE MARKET?

• First of all if you want to invest in future market, in my right opinion you should take advice from a good financial adviser company. Which is really can give you more profit in your invest. Financial adviser act as advisories for your investment, pension and financial plans. There are so many different advisers out there in the market place and each will come with their own personalities, views, opinions and experience levels. Do not be afraid to look around and do not settle until you feel comfortable with your choice of adviser.

• Here is a brief overview of what a financial adviser actually does:

• Make Planning and strategy.

• Give you right Investing options.

• Research on the financial statements.

• Clear all Question and doubt.

• Annual review

• They can recommend strategies that you can use to improve your financial situation achieve your financial goal out investment routes

• Many brokerage services, both traditional and online, offer futures and options trading services. For people just starting to trade, working with an experienced broker may help minimize some of the risk that often is associated with these two trading strategies. As you gain experience, moving to primarily online trading can help you minimize costs and speed trades.

• Before planning specific trading objectives, decide on either a bullish or bearish outlook.

• After making a general forecast, consult the price chart of the futures market you plan to trade. Look for patterns in the chart to plan entry points and price targets. This kind of research is called technical analysis.

you may get more future market tips and commodity tips from expert.

A Guide To Un-Leased Mineral Owners   Beaten Bean Bulls   Understanding the Basics of Futures Options   Answering Fundamental Questions on Spread Betting   A Stylish Study of Price   Commodity Trading Tips   

3 Important Forex Rules Designed To Keep You in the Game For The Long Haul

There is nothing in the Forex market that is certain. Though many people try to make you think they have the magic system that will start the money rolling in immediately, there actually is no such system. This is especially true for those who are trading the Forex market when they have no experience to fall back on.

However, once a person learns the Forex game his chances for success improve considerably. In this article, we will talk about three rules that, if observed, will help you get past the beginning stages of Forex trading and therefore, greatly increase your chances for success.

The three rules Forex trading beginners should observe are:

Don't trade too many different pairs at first - specialize in one or two Stay away from day trading techniques and instead design your trades for longer terms Get out of the losers quickly and let the winners run their course

Let's look into these rules to see why they're important.

Don't Trade Too Many Different Pairs At First - Specialize In One Or Two

A common mistake beginners make is to become enamored by all the many different Forex pairs that exist. There are over 50 different popular Forex currency pairs and when you are unsure of how to make smart trades, this variety only makes things more confusing. Many veteran traders suggest beginners should only trade the EUR/USD. This currency trade is the most popular. However, I believe the best thing about this pair for those who live in the United States is the fact it is bought and sold in American dollars. I believe this is a very solid reason for a beginner to specialize in this currency pair. I believe specializing in the GBP/USP is just as logical. Of course, if you lived in Canada you would be better off trading something that trades Canadian dollars. Such a trade would be the EUR/CAD.

Stay Away From Day trading Techniques And Instead Design Your Trades For Longer Terms

Day traders dedicate their whole day to sitting at their computer overseeing automated trades in their accounts. They are ready to move at any second and live a very hectic existence. Beginners tend to always be on here trigger alert to begin with. Therefore, it is wise for them to adapt a slower, less intense strategy. Such a strategy would be to trade in their chosen currency pair and once the trade is entered set a stop loss on the order.

Then they should let the trade go until either the stop loss takes effect or the trade starts making them money. If it does start to move in the favorable direction, they should move their stop loss closer to where the pair is currently trading. If this strategy sounds simple, that's because it is. However, a lot can be learned from making these types of trades when first starting out.

Get Out Of The Losers Quickly And Let The Winners Run Their Course

If you follow the strategy outlined above, this rule will be easy to implement. However the importance of this rule cannot be overstated. In short, you should never live in hope that a trade moving against you will turn around. If a trade is going in the wrong direction, get out of it! Get back in again when you're comfortable about the direction it is going. However, if it turns on you again, get out of it quickly this time, too. If you are able to lose small amounts of money you only need to make 30 to 40% good trades to more than make up for the bad ones.

While these strategies are not full proof, they will tend to give you staying power. However, ignoring them leaves you vulnerable to losing all your money very quickly and no longer being able to play the Forex trading game.

A Guide To Un-Leased Mineral Owners   Commodity Trading Tips   Trading Knowledge For Success in the Futures Market   Greek Default Imminent   

Options Trading for Beginners

One of the advantages of new traders who opt for options trading is the flexibility that this type of investment is offering. Beginners may have the opportunity to trade with leverage. In some countries, an option contract may be representing 100 shares of the underlying stock or commodity. The traders do not have to put up all of the capital for the underlying assets but they only deal with a fraction that represents the entire amount that is equivalent to the value of the stocks or the commodities. This leverage gives the traders the chance to control a large volume of the underlying assets through options contracts.

However, although beginner traders have the advantages brought about by flexibility and leverage, they have to be careful as options trading poses high risks. Traders may be dealing with small amounts of investments; nevertheless, they can incur huge losses in the process if they are not careful. To lessen the risks involved in this type of trading, new traders have to make use of strategies. They may for example make use of Option Combination. They can buy or sell various options contracts simultaneously. There are also other strategies that they employ in order to gain more instead of losing.

While beginner traders learn the basics of buying and selling options contracts, they also have to learn more about the underlying assets that they are dealing with. They have to be aware of the factors that may influence the market prices and trends. Traders should be able to adjust their position accordingly. They may protect their position or they may get out of it depending on the market situation. New traders have to be careful in making decisions especially when they are influenced by too much speculation.

Option trading is a risky business and this may not be for everyone. Those who would like to try their hands on it have to venture with a risk capital. The speculative nature of this kind of trading increases the risk that traders are taking. Beginner traders also have to know more about it if they decide to invest in options. A good working knowledge about procedures and strategies will be very helpful to beginner traders so that they may not find themselves in a very weak position. There are lots of details and information about options trading and there are also experts who can provide sound advices to those who are new to this kind of trading.

A Guide To Un-Leased Mineral Owners   Greek Default Imminent   Beaten Bean Bulls   Understanding the Basics of Futures Options   Answering Fundamental Questions on Spread Betting   A Stylish Study of Price   

Things That Beginners Need to Know About Spread Betting

For beginners in financial spread betting, there would be lots of questions that require prompt and appropriate answer. This is in order to make sure that they will be on the right road in this financial world. It is in this light that those who are just starting to explore this field should understand the exact basic and most fundamental aspects surrounding it. This article will provide some of these.

What is the Key to Success?

First and foremost, beginners in this field would be interested in finding out the secret for a sure success. A trader needs to work hard. Research is a key factor that may affect the rate of success in this field. This is because there needs to be a proper handling and management of risks and even the trade itself too. Timing and control are both particularly critical factors too in order to be successful here. What this means is that a trader must learn the right time when to enter and exit a position. Aside from that, control is an essential element to prevent over trading.

Kinds of Bets for Beginners

On the other hand, another thing a newbie needs to know is the different bets to make. This platform can, in fact, provide so many options. For beginners, it would be best to stick with the fundamentals first. Aside from that, it is also a golden rule for beginners to trade in small amounts or little by little as they familiarize themselves to how this works.

Danger of Betting Large Denominations

Further, another aspect that is related to the previous one is the danger of betting in large denominations. Well, this is because most beginners are a little bit excited to trade and earn substantial profits. Hence, their tendency is to over trade. This reminder is, in fact, also applicable to anything that people do and not just in financial spread betting.

Does Spread Betting Require Close Monitoring?

Monitoring is particularly crucial in order to be successful in this field. This will require a trader to check relevant economic or market data constantly and regularly in order to come up with the right decision. However, this does not have to that tedious every single time. It is in this light that there are some orders that traders can employ. Some of these include the limit order as well as the stop loss order. By using these orders, traders can set the time when to enter or exit a position in a predetermined manner.

What is the Tax Treatment on Spread Betting Earnings?

Further, it is also necessary to know about the tax treatment on whatever earnings a trader will gain from dealing with financial spread betting. In most countries, this has no tax since this transaction is considered as gambling.

A Guide To Un-Leased Mineral Owners   Beaten Bean Bulls   Answering Fundamental Questions on Spread Betting   A Stylish Study of Price   Commodity Trading Tips   Trading Knowledge For Success in the Futures Market   

E-Mini Trading Overview

What is e-mini trading all about, and why should you do it? E-minis are merely pint sized futures contracts. Futures contracts involve two parties agreeing to sell a certain amount of some commodity or asset at an agreed upon price at a specific time in the future. All of these amounts and parameters are agreed upon today. When you trade in futures contracts, you are trading these agreements. You pay a premium to hold a contract for as long as you desire up to its expiration date, that is that future date of delivery agreed upon in the here and now by the two parties. Your account gets credited with profits or debited for losses based upon the present market conditions of the underlying asset at that time when you decide to sell a futures contract that you purchased.

E-mini trading is for the little guy who wants to get in on the potential big money action of day trading futures. Day trading means that you are constantly buying and selling e-mini futures contracts. Day traders may only hold a contract for less than an hour, and they rarely hold one for longer than a few days. Hence the name day trading. Day traders seek to make profits during the trading day hours when the futures exchange is open. Day traders are not buy and hold traders. They do not invest in stocks and bonds and then watch them for a year or two or five. If then can make a profitable trade every day, they will. They also do not stick with a contract for very long if it looks like it is losing unrecoverable ground. Day traders are quick to take profits and quick to cut losses.

E-mini trading is for the little guy who wishes to day trade with the leveraging power of futures contracts. Futures are so delicious to investors because a very small price movement means a very big gain. Likewise, if that small price movement goes in the wrong direction, it leads to a big loss. But day traders are active traders, remember. Therefore, the successful ones study and use trading techniques that have been proven to bring together low risk with high probability of profit. This does not mean that they never take losses. All day traders take losses. But the successful day traders profit significantly more often than they lose. Over time, their profits greatly outweigh their losses, and they live a prosperous lifestyle.

E-mini trading is futures trading for the little guy because the contracts are much smaller, but that in turn means their account margin requirements are much smaller, too. People who cannot afford to open up large trading accounts or who do not have large amounts of capital to risk find their perfect trader's home with e-minis. Even traders who could afford big margins and large risk capital are getting into e-minis because they are such a magnificent deal. So, study and master your e-mini strategies, and open up a whole new world of excitement and profit!

A Guide To Un-Leased Mineral Owners   Beaten Bean Bulls   Greek Default Imminent   Understanding the Basics of Futures Options   

Is It Pure Luck in Spread Betting Markets?

It is a fact that the financial market is extremely unpredictable. There are times when investors can make a lot of money while there are also days that a trading day may cause financial misfortunes. However, this does not mean that it is just all about gamble basing on pure luck. This is applicable to financial spread betting too. In other words, what this simply means is that betting on commodities, currencies, stocks or indices and to the market, in general, is not dependent on pure luck at all. A trader cannot be a winner or a loser just because of fate and something superficial. Hence, this also means that trading in this market can be more on behavioral science. It is behavioral science because there are some indicators that traders can use in order to make a logical and wise decision.

No one needs Luck in Financial Market

No one needs luck when it comes to the financial spread betting and in the financial market, in general. This is because traders can do some researches as well as planning and even strategies in order to analyze or decide the right trade position. While the behavior of the market is, in fact, unpredictable, there are some ways that trades can explore in order to make some intelligible projections.

For example, as the market moves unpredictably, there are certain and definite things that traders can avoid or even explore like minimizing the impact of risks. Risks are always there. It is definite, and it is a fact. No one can eradicate it to any financial transaction. Nevertheless, what a reasonable and logical trader would do is to do some strategies and tactics in order to make the impact of the said risks more bearable and minimal to the trading positions.

One concrete example of this is betting on short-term positions. This way, the trade is less exposed to the market. Hence, what this means is that it has lesser exposure as well to the risks associated with the same market. In other words, possible earnings and profits are more protected by this.

Big Different Between Skill and Luck

There are so many people who are saying that a winning trader in financial spread betting is exceptionally lucky. However, there is no sense to that at all. This is because instead of being lucky, a trader or investor is winning because of the skills. Well, this is about the talent of a person to read through the movements of the market clearly and use them for his or her advantage. By saying that, what this means connotes two (2), which are knowledge and action.

On the one hand, knowing the technicality of the market is just a part of it. This is because, on the other hand, actions, tactics as well as executions are elements of a successful spread betting too.

A Guide To Un-Leased Mineral Owners   Beaten Bean Bulls   Answering Fundamental Questions on Spread Betting   A Stylish Study of Price   Trading Knowledge For Success in the Futures Market   

Mineral Owners - Information About Leasing Your Land

One of the common things that used to happen in many countries before industrialization came about was that mineral resources were given to individuals or organization. This kind of ownership gave owners of property both mineral rights and surface rights. In short, if any mineral was found on the sub-surface or on the surface of the land, it belonged to the owner of the land. This means the owner could do anything he wanted: he could sell the land, lease it (either partially or wholly) or give it as a gift. The land was his to do as he wished.

As we speak, all this has changed. Many countries have come up with strict laws concerning mineral rights. Laws have also been drafted to monitor how mining and drilling activities are carried out.

Let us use an example. If you want to mine oil and gas on your land, the most important thing to do is to know what the State Law says about mining in your area. Sometimes the State Law is not easily understandable. This is where you seek legal advice from a lawyer within your state who can enlighten you on the regulations and rules concerning mining of oil and gas in the state you reside in.

If you are a company that wants to explore the minerals in a certain area, you normally have 2 options: to buy mineral rights or to lease mineral rights.

Generally, buying mineral rights is very expensive and difficult. You will find that many companies do not opt for buying mineral rights because of the uncertainty of the amount of mineral that they will get when drilling activities begin. It is for this reason that you will find companies opting to purchase mineral rights on lease.

The mineral rights lease is basically a contract that allows a company to explore the land and see whether it has potential for producing minerals for a long time. If the company finds the project viable, they can proceed with the mining activities. Once the lease expires and the company carrying out the mining stops its activities then the owner regains the rights.

In this minding industry, there are some individuals who act as brokers. What they do is to purchase land which has minerals from individual landowners then lease the land to companies that carry out mining activities. Landowners should be aware of such people so that they don't get conned.

A Guide To Un-Leased Mineral Owners   Beaten Bean Bulls   Commodity Trading Tips   Greek Default Imminent   Understanding the Basics of Futures Options   

Cheap Beef Isn't Always a Positive

The drought of 2012 now covers more than half of the continental United States. Temperatures have set records throughout 2012 leading to the warmest 12-month period since the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) began keeping records in 1895. When we combine these temperatures with the 10th driest June on record and consider that the rain we have seen has not made it to the Great Plains, it's no wonder that grain prices have increased by 50% in the last month. Grain farmers are at least partially compensated for their lower output by higher prices on delivery as well as various insurance programs that kick in when output falls to pre-determined levels. The cattle industry faces an entirely different dilemma.

The price for beef and dairy in the U.S. changes very little at the grocery store. The competition between grocers as well as the availability of substitute goods to the shoppers make the livestock industry hold prices steady at the end point while withstanding the expense of higher feed costs on the front end. Their business plan is based on the two-year production cycle of cattle for beef, which places them in the position of absorbing losses this year while hoping to refill their coffers at higher prices two years down the road. How long can they afford to hold on to inventory while maintaining back stock for the coming year?

The cattle for beef industry is a two-step process. Individual farmers breed and raise cattle until they reach about 700lbs. These animals are then sent to feedlots to be fattened up for slaughter. Feeder cattle will nearly double in size for slaughter, ending up around 1,300lbs. The farmers and feedlots are in competition with each other. When feed costs are low, the feedlot operators can afford to fatten up the skinniest of animals. However, when costs are as high as they are now, feedlots are looking for heavier animals that have spent more time at the farms grazing. Iowa State published a paper two years ago on feed costs and determined that it takes 3,360 pounds of corn to increase fed cattle's weight by 500lbs. This is the equivalent of 60 bushels of corn or, $420 per animal at today's prices.

The upward pressure of grain prices forces farmers to determine how many cattle they can hold back and afford to feed versus how many they have to sell to generate more revenue to cover the higher input costs. These decisions show up in the World Agriculture Board's forecast for greater cattle production through this fall. We will see cattle prices fall as a result of this through Halloween. The catch is that there will be fewer animals available next year and this will lead to competition among feedlots for placements because lower grain prices will increase feedlot operator margins as they finish the animals to send to the packinghouses.

These market forces will also show up in the dairy market. The relationship between feed costs and milk production are almost 1 to 1. It takes about 100lbs of feed made up of 75% corn and 25% soybean meal to produce 100lbs of milk. This equals input feed costs of $1.28 per gallon. Dairy farmers will be forced to cull their less productive cows to feed the animals that are producing well. This will add more beef cattle to the supply chain further depressing prices through this fall.

One of the best ways to determine if something is, "going on" in a market is by noticing when market relationships are out of kilter. Cattle and grains typically have a positive correlation. They tend to move in tandem. Moderately increase the price of corn and the cattle will follow suit. The opposite is also true as the cost of feed declines, so does the cost of production. However, when this relationship breaks down it's because one market can't keep pace or, pass on the costs of the other. That is exactly what we're seeing between cattle and corn. The price of feed has exceeded the livestock market's ability to pass on the costs. This brings more animals to slaughter now and will leave us with a smaller breeding herd heading into next year.

A Guide To Un-Leased Mineral Owners   Beaten Bean Bulls   Commodity Trading Tips   Trading Knowledge For Success in the Futures Market   

Drilling Processes for the Oil and Gas Industry

Drilling Processes for Oil and Gas

Oil and gas industry relies on the drilling process for the construction of oil fields. Natural gas and oil are found in the earth's crust, and they have to be drilled out. Natural gas remains stored within sandstones, carbonates, coal and shale. Wells are constructed on oil beds and generally take two to three months to become functional. The productive life of a single well is 20-30 years on an average. A number of resources are used for drilling vertical, horizontal and multi-layered wells for target formation.

Drilling process

The step by step overview of drilling process is given below:

1. The drill site is prepared for drilling. This would need proper surveys and licensing.

2. Steel pipes and other equipments are inserted to bore the area

3. Fresh water aquifer is protected by cement pipes

4. Drilling process is continued to the earth's crust till its maximum point.

5. Drill fluid is inserted in the hole to crack the shale. The drill fluid consists of water, some chemicals and mud additives.

6. Fracturing process completes in 2-5 days. Till then, other processes continue on the area.

7. Once the well is dug, necessary facilities are installed and the well is prepared to function.

As discussed earlier, the oil well keeps working for about 20-30 years.3 million to 5 million gallons of water is used to create the right hydraulic pressure during the drilling process. This same amount of water can be consumed on a golf course in around 15 to 20 days. Drilling site is studied by certified geologists to develop a strategy to minimize challenges. Climatic conditions are also studied to be prepared for future risk management. Social and local issues are also taken in consideration. Land permit is sought from the government. This involves paying certain taxes.

Geologists work with environmentalists, engineers, and regulatory staff to collect information about the drill area. Initially a short length drill is done which is later extended to the water table. The depth is specified by the geologists working on the area. After drilling, some drilling mud is pumped in to make clear surface and boundary of the hole. After the steel pipes are removed, cement castings are filled on the boundaries. A plug is also inserted in the casting to check the section of the wall. Once the well is constructed, then it is taken further by the upstream processing and the downstream processing from here.

A Guide To Un-Leased Mineral Owners   Beaten Bean Bulls   Understanding the Basics of Futures Options   Answering Fundamental Questions on Spread Betting   A Stylish Study of Price   

Trading Through the Fibonacci Trends

Individuals who would like to get into stocks or commodities have to learn trading through the Fibonacci trends. They have to distinguish the primary trend which moves in a direction and the secondary trend which may move exactly in the other direction opposite to it. Traders also have to watch the retracement levels of the primary trend especially on specific points such as at 38.2%, at 50% and also at 61.8% respectively. It is at any of these points where retracements may be expected.

Trading through the Fibonacci trends also include other Fibonacci levels where resistance may be expected. These points are at 75%, at 78.6% and at 88.7%. Traders will have to analyze the price movements as it hits any of these points in order for them to determine if the counter move will continue or will stop and start retracing the primary move. Traders have to pay attention especially to significant changes in the prices as they may expect retracements to happen especially after a sharp change in price that is accompanied by large volume of stocks or commodities. However, traders also have to be keen in identifying the highest as well as the lowest points in the primary trend.

Trading through the Fibonacci trends may also be more effective if it is used together with other techniques that traders can combine with it. Traders expect that the stocks or commodities will have to pull back at certain levels before actually reversing its direction. Traders may understand this concept better through the use of charts where they can readily have the data that they need in analyzing the primary and the secondary trends.

Trading through the Fibonacci trends may seem complicated and difficult but traders have to keep their minds open and start understanding how it works. This is an effective tool that may help them to determine when they can consider buying or selling their stocks or commodities. Traders today do not have to do their analysis of the market by manually plotting the trends but they only have to learn how to make use of programs that are designed to do the calculations and the charting for them.

What they really have to learn about is how to interpret their data correctly so that they may be able to make the right trading decision. Trading through the Fibonacci trends may provide indicators for traders to identify the best possible time when they can enter or when they have to exit the stocks or the commodities markets.

A Guide To Un-Leased Mineral Owners   Beaten Bean Bulls   Greek Default Imminent   Understanding the Basics of Futures Options   

How to Invest in Commodities With a Commodity ETF

If you investigate the returns of unique assets such as equities, bonds, and real estate, you'll discover that they generally are not highly correlated to commodities. Therefore, by adding commodities to your portfolio, you're diversifying it, and decreasing the probability that the value of all your holdings will decrease simultaneously. This is great news when stocks are volatile and declining. It also makes perfect sense: commodities represent another "basket" and you diversify by not putting "all your eggs in the same basket." If you're an investment guru, like Warren Buffett, then you don't need to worry about this. For everyone else, diversification is simply a requirement. Because of the fact that not all assets zig and zag in unison, it guards your portfolio from inevitable market declines.

It used to be challenging to participate in the commodities market. You either needed to be a high net worth individual (due to the large minimum investment amount necessary to establish an account), or you had to be familiar and comfortable with trading commodity futures. This is no longer required. Any retail investor may now allocate part of his portfolio to commodities by buying a commodity ETF. These exchange traded securities can be traded on a stock exchange and are available through regular brokerage accounts. They trade intra-day, and are bought and sold in the same way that stocks are.

There are now more than one hundred different commodity ETFs, so how do you decide which one to buy? For most investors it makes most sense to buy a broad commodity index fund. One widely followed commodity index is the S&P Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (GSCI), which tracks 24 different commodity futures contracts. With this single investment, you can track the price of all the most common physical commodities in the world.

When owned as a diversified basket, commodities often have lower volatility than other risky asset classes such as stocks. For example, during the global financial crisis just a few years ago, equities were more than twice as volatile as the S&P GSCI commodity index. A commodity ETF is an un-leveraged way to benefit from rising prices of commodities. This is very different from trading commodity futures contracts, which involves a lot of leverage: a moderate change in price of the underlying commodity can wipe out your account. This makes commodity ETFs much more suitable for a typical investor.

Other than individual investors, who else invests in commodities? Hedge funds are very active in this market, as are pensions and insurers. Even university endowments participate. For example, did you know that Yale university's endowment calls for over twenty percent of its investments to be allocated to commodities? And Yale is not an exception, many other university endowments invest in commodities or similar real assets such as timber forests.

There is something to be said for "following the smart money." There is no reason why a normal investor should not have an allocation to commodities. They nicely complement the stocks and bonds that form the cornerstones of the majority of investment portfolios. I would not be surprised if in another decade or two, commodity investments are just as normal as those in bonds and stocks.

Even though commodity ETFs have become popular in recent years, some investing experts still advise against investing in this market. The common criticism is that commodities don't provide ownership in something that has inherent value, unlike say a stock, which represents real ownership in a potentially growing enterprise. Well-known investment author and portfolio manager William Bernstein has compared commodity investing to "picking up nickels in front of a steamroller." In his words, "the risk of getting crushed is enormous." Another well-known writer and advisor, Rick Ferri also pooh-poohs them, saying you should stick instead to tried and true stocks and bonds.

In summary, it may be worthwhile adding a commodity ETF to your investments, if you haven't already done so. But don't just take my word for it. Do your own homework before making any investments!

A Guide To Un-Leased Mineral Owners   Beaten Bean Bulls   A Stylish Study of Price   Commodity Trading Tips   Trading Knowledge For Success in the Futures Market   

Strategies for Long Term CFD Trading

For safe traders, going for a short term strategy is the best thing that can be done in order to protect capital as well as have some profits little by little or slowly but surely. Well, this is what conventional thinking has to say. However, there is another option, which is going for a long-term position. This is despite the belief of many traders that long term trading approaches are regarded as lesser form of leverage trading strategy. Aside from that, such strategies also have the tendency to go along with markets that are less volatile.

Nevertheless, this shall not always be the case. Also, those things that I have said above shall never hinder any trader to go long term positions as well as take their appropriate strategies. This is because there are some strategies that specifically designed to address long term views. Further, long term CFD trading strategies have its own advantages or benefits as well.

One of these advantages of taking or exploring the long term approaches is their ability to go along and ride with the larger movements in prices of a specific asset. Well, this is an advantage because this opportunity is often not applicable or offered for those who are having short term positions and undertaking short term strategies.

Further, price movement in the short run or within the course of a single trading day is commonly restricted in the sense that the prices are very unlikely to move drastically. While this can be viewed as a protection for short term traders, this also limits the level of possible profits or gains that can be accumulated. This is also true even in the highly volatile markets. In contrast with the level of prices or the potential movements of the market in a month's time, increase in the price can surely make a trader to take home a serious and considerable amount of money.

Furthermore, another advantage of taking the long term strategies is that trading CFDs in this manner will only incur a trader with significantly lower transaction costs. This, in the long run, is a very important advantage the any investor shall be able to consider in the first place. Well, this is also because of the fact that traders who are engaged in trades with short lifespan tend to incur more costs on broker fees as well as payments for commissions since they do this more frequently than in long term positions. Of course, this is a cost that will have significant on the level of potential that a trader may take home.

Moreover, while it is true that long term strategies and approaches in CFD trading make the trader to be more exposed on greater risks, this can be eased with much lower costs on every transaction.

A Guide To Un-Leased Mineral Owners   Beaten Bean Bulls   A Stylish Study of Price   Answering Fundamental Questions on Spread Betting   Commodity Trading Tips   

Saturday, December 8, 2012

Beans and Corn Battle for Acreage

Last week's USDA Prospective Planting report made the production demands on U.S. farmers quite clear. The world said, "We need more!" This was most evident in the corn market. The major adjustment in the report was the disappearance of 514 million bushels of corn from the ending stocks. This has to be attributed to either a smaller ending 2011 crop or increased exports. The missing corn was not used as feed because the warmest winter in years allowed herds to graze far more than usual. The resulting inventories leave U.S. corn supply near 15 year lows. There is also considerable trade chatter that the USDA may not have revised their ending stocks low enough with some traders believing the true revision should be in the neighborhood of 900 million bushels.

The result of these numbers was instantly higher prices, especially for corn already in the bins. Our statistical model showed that corn should sell off in the days heading into the report and rally afterwards. The corn market sold off about 6.5% heading into the report and has rallied more than 10% since its release. There are three main factors in this market going forward. First of all, the planting intentions for corn are 95.9 million acres. This would be the largest planted acreage since 1937 and would lead to a record crop if all goes well. Second, as always, weather is a major concern. The warm spring will get the crops in early, but any weather shocks down the road lead us right back to extremely tight supplies. Finally, the risk of economic shock due to a Spanish or Italian implosion is very real. This would hurt Eurozone trade with China and China is our primary importer of corn and soybeans.

The soybean and corn markets are competing for acreage and that competition is scored by market prices. Farmers are trying to manage the coming year's budget and must analyze their operations accordingly. The expected trend line yield for corn is approximately 160 bushels per acre and 43 bushels per acre for soybeans. The break-even cash prices for these crops are expected to be around $4.60 and $11.50 respectively. The current market prices of $6.50 and $14.25 gives corn a significantly higher expected rate of return and explains the large increase in expected acreage for the 2012 crop.

The price disparity will continue to grow until soybeans can trade high enough to justify more acreage. Unless some acres are shifted from corn to soybeans, we could see a huge swing in the corn to soybean spread due to the projected record 2012 corn crop. Soybeans typically bottom out at about 1.7 times the price of corn at the beginning of April and then rally through the end of July before selling off again into harvest. Given the large imbalance between the two crops, the current spread of beans at twice the price of corn could easily surpass 2010's high of 3.34 and could very well test the all time high of 3.6 set in 1988.

A Guide To Un-Leased Mineral Owners   Beaten Bean Bulls   A Stylish Study of Price   Trading Knowledge For Success in the Futures Market   

Strategies for Short Term CFD Trading

There are numerous strategies that traders can actually employ in making a position in contracts for difference or CFD trading. You can choose the short term strategies while you can also choose the long term strategies as well as other applicable approaches. This article will specifically discuss the first one, which is the various approaches in short term strategies.

First and foremost, short term CFD strategies look CFD trading in just hours instead of days due to aspect of the financing costs as well as the other mechanisms on how the said costs are passed to the traders.

As we all know, the financing costs are only an issue when the positions are being held overnight. Aside from that, allowing the position of a trader to roll over even up to the next trading days is already incurring more extra charges. Of course, this may still depend on the specific nature of the trade or transaction. Nevertheless, what this generally means is that those charges can be treated as indicators that such position is indeed unprofitable. Hence, what a good trader needs to do instead is find other financially sound position by way of closing out or taking the gains before the trading day ends.

However, the mere avoidance of the other overnight charges is not the only thing that short term strategies in spread betting can actually offer. As a matter of fact, there is a lot more that this approach can boast about.

For instance, having a short term position, the movement of the market will be limited to only few possibilities. What this means is that while trading CFDs is indeed best applicable in a volatile type of market, it is somewhat close to impossible for such market to totally collapse just within the single trading day. Nevertheless, it does not mean that it will never happen in such a way. The lesson behind this is that having a short strategy or position in spread betting is a little bit more secure from suffering on the possible of a total collapse of the market.

In other words, what I previously said is actually relative. I have said this because even if the market falls down within a trading, there is a less probability for you to suffer from a market shut down compared if you are trading in long term strategies like a month or so. This is because in the latter situation, you are more exposed to a lot more movements and possibilities in the market that you no longer have control.

On the other hand, however, short term strategies in CFD trading have some setbacks as well like in any kind of strategies or approaches. One of these major drawbacks of this is the issue on commissions as well as transactions fees.

A Guide To Un-Leased Mineral Owners   Beaten Bean Bulls   A Stylish Study of Price   Trading Knowledge For Success in the Futures Market   Greek Default Imminent   Understanding the Basics of Futures Options   

Twitter Facebook Flickr RSS



Français Deutsch Italiano Português
Español 日本語 한국의 中国简体。